This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents affecting Discord services or components will be considered. A 'Partial Outage' (orange) does not qualify.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as a 'Major Outage' (red) when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first outage classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s outage classification to 'Major Outage' (red) will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or https://discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord’s “Partial Outage” classification is orange, while “Major Outage” is red. A Partial Outage does not qualify.
Past
August 31
$5.9K Volume
54%
September 30
$647 Volume
83%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Critical Discord Incident by?
It's a genuine race: September 30 edges the field at 57%, barely ahead of August 31 at 33%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Critical Discord Incident by?
At 57% implied for September 30, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Critical Discord Incident by market resolve?
Mark 1 Oct 2026 (38 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Critical Discord Incident by?
$1.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Critical Discord Incident by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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