The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
$19.8K Volume
92%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
$2.4K Volume
5%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
$2.3K Volume
5%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
$1.8K Volume
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
$1.8K Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?
At 91%, Jean Smart – “Hacks” has pulled far clear of Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” (4%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?
Traders price Jean Smart – “Hacks” at a 91% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 14 Sep 2026 (21 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?
Total turnover stands at $28.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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