France vs. Spain (Resolved)

**France holds a modest edge in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal against Spain, scheduled for July 14 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, reflecting traders' view of Les Bleus' deeper squad experience and recent knockout-stage momentum.** France advanced with a 2-0 quarterfinal win over Morocco, showcasing defensive organization and contributions from Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé. Spain reached the last four via a dramatic 1-1 comeback victory against Belgium on July 10, with substitute Mikel Merino scoring late to extend their resilient run. The evenly balanced pricing—France at 41.5 percent implied probability, draw and Spain each at 29.5 percent—underscores the rivalry's intensity, stylistic contrasts between France's physicality and Spain's possession-oriented approach, and the inherent unpredictability of single-elimination matches between two title contenders.