Florida Midterm · Senate midterms

Florida Senate Election Winner

$94.8K Volume
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Ashley Moody (R)
$51.2K Volume
93%
Angie Nixon (D)
$43.6K Volume
8%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Florida Senate Election Winner?
Ashley Moody (R) dominates the field at 92%; the nearest challenger, Angie Nixon (D), trades at just 8%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Florida Senate Election Winner?
With 92% implied for Ashley Moody (R), the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
How much money is trading on Florida Senate Election Winner?
Total turnover stands at $94.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Florida Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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