This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Past
≤0.0%
$1.1K Volume
8%
0.1-0.3%
$1.1K Volume
8%
0.4-0.6%
$547 Volume
18%
0.7-0.9%
$3K Volume
35%
1.0-1.2%
$13.4K Volume
35%
1.3%+
$3.4K Volume
22%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 1.0-1.2% trades at 35%, 0.7-0.9% at 34%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 1.0-1.2% at 35% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Oct 2026 (67 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Total turnover stands at $87. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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