This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
20°C or below
$19 Volume
1%
21°C
$10 Volume
1%
22°C
$824 Volume
4%
23°C
$2K Volume
8%
24°C
$6.4K Volume
19%
25°C
$1.1K Volume
35%
26°C
$2.7K Volume
23%
27°C
$483 Volume
10%
28°C
$99 Volume
5%
29°C
$252 Volume
2%
30°C or higher
$380 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
The field is wide open: 25°C tops it at just 35%, with 26°C close behind at 23%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
No strong consensus yet: 25°C tops the implied probabilities at just 35%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26 market resolve?
Mark 26 Aug 2026 (2 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
$52.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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