This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
15°C or below
$147 Volume
1%
16°C
$417 Volume
1%
17°C
$252 Volume
1%
18°C
$279 Volume
1%
19°C
$561 Volume
9%
20°C
$967 Volume
17%
21°C
$654 Volume
43%
22°C
$607 Volume
29%
23°C
$576 Volume
11%
24°C
$306 Volume
3%
25°C or higher
$102 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
The field is wide open: 21°C tops it at just 41%, with 22°C close behind at 29%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
No strong consensus yet: 21°C tops the implied probabilities at just 41%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 25 market resolve?
Mark 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
Traders have put $44K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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