This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
71°F or below
$827 Volume
1%
72-73°F
$253 Volume
1%
74-75°F
$1.5K Volume
1%
76-77°F
$1.9K Volume
1%
78-79°F
$3.8K Volume
26%
80-81°F
$3.2K Volume
69%
82-83°F
$2.3K Volume
12%
84-85°F
$1.6K Volume
2%
86-87°F
$2.9K Volume
1%
88-89°F
$243 Volume
1%
90°F or higher
$213 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
80-81°F leads the field at 67%, with 78-79°F next at 24%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
The market makes 80-81°F the favorite at 67%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
Total turnover stands at $38.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
31°C99%YesNo
35°C or higher1%YesNo
25°C53%YesNo
24°C46%YesNo
34°C99%YesNo
31°C2%YesNo
30°C99%YesNo
26°C1%YesNo
18°C41%YesNo
17°C36%YesNo
29°C57%YesNo
28°C28%YesNo
31°C99%YesNo
33°C2%YesNo
32°C99%YesNo
35°C or higher1%YesNo
