This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
25°C or below
$737 Volume
1%
26°C
$565 Volume
1%
27°C
$1K Volume
2%
28°C
$5.3K Volume
9%
29°C
$3.1K Volume
46%
30°C
$8.4K Volume
44%
31°C
$2.2K Volume
8%
32°C
$799 Volume
1%
33°C
$667 Volume
1%
34°C
$554 Volume
1%
35°C or higher
$531 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Madrid on August 26?
It's a genuine race: 29°C edges the field at 45%, barely ahead of 30°C at 44%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Madrid on August 26?
At 45% implied for 29°C, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Highest temperature in Madrid on August 26 market resolve?
The market runs until 26 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Madrid on August 26?
Total turnover stands at $89.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Madrid on August 26 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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