This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
71°F or below
$238 Volume
1%
72-73°F
$738 Volume
1%
74-75°F
$447 Volume
1%
76-77°F
$310 Volume
2%
78-79°F
$434 Volume
7%
80-81°F
$1.8K Volume
37%
82-83°F
$1.1K Volume
47%
84-85°F
$830 Volume
13%
86-87°F
$260 Volume
3%
88-89°F
$361 Volume
2%
90°F or higher
$474 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in NYC on August 26?
It's a genuine race: 82-83°F edges the field at 47%, barely ahead of 80-81°F at 37%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in NYC on August 26?
At 47% implied for 82-83°F, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Highest temperature in NYC on August 26 market resolve?
Mark 26 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in NYC on August 26?
$90.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in NYC on August 26 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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