This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
63°F or below
$239 Volume
1%
64-65°F
$424 Volume
1%
66-67°F
$1.1K Volume
3%
68-69°F
$565 Volume
10%
70-71°F
$2K Volume
38%
72-73°F
$1.7K Volume
43%
74-75°F
$2.1K Volume
12%
76-77°F
$1.2K Volume
1%
78-79°F
$1.2K Volume
1%
80-81°F
$1.2K Volume
1%
82°F or higher
$381 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
The field is wide open: 72-73°F tops it at just 43%, with 70-71°F close behind at 38%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
No strong consensus yet: 72-73°F tops the implied probabilities at just 43%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25 market resolve?
Mark 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
$39.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
32°C50%YesNo
31°C32%YesNo
31°C40%YesNo
30°C29%YesNo
24°C59%YesNo
25°C32%YesNo
19°C27%YesNo
20°C27%YesNo
29°C37%YesNo
28°C31%YesNo
34°C52%YesNo
35°C28%YesNo
17°C98%YesNo
14°C3%YesNo
32°C39%YesNo
31°C29%YesNo







