This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
25°C or below
$260 Volume
1%
26°C
$184 Volume
1%
27°C
$184 Volume
1%
28°C
$595 Volume
1%
29°C
$2.8K Volume
1%
30°C
$4.2K Volume
9%
31°C
$4.3K Volume
47%
32°C
$3.3K Volume
37%
33°C
$2.3K Volume
7%
34°C
$1.1K Volume
1%
35°C or higher
$694 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
No runaway leader here - 31°C at 47% versus 32°C at 37%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Traders give 31°C a 47% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 25 market resolve?
Mark 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Total turnover stands at $63.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 25 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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