This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
26°C or below
$119 Volume
1%
27°C
$1.2K Volume
1%
28°C
$483 Volume
1%
29°C
$1K Volume
2%
30°C
$1.3K Volume
3%
31°C
$4.1K Volume
20%
32°C
$1.2K Volume
60%
33°C
$1K Volume
16%
34°C
$1.4K Volume
5%
35°C
$197 Volume
1%
36°C or higher
$571 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
No runaway leader here - 32°C at 60% versus 31°C at 20%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
At 60% implied for 32°C, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 26 market resolve?
The market runs until 26 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
Traders have put $50.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 26 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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