This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Past
22°C or below
$3.3K Volume
1%
23°C
$2.2K Volume
1%
24°C
$2.3K Volume
1%
25°C
$393 Volume
1%
26°C
$1.1K Volume
1%
27°C
$630 Volume
1%
28°C
$377 Volume
1%
29°C
$21 Volume
1%
30°C
$221 Volume
2%
31°C
$395 Volume
3%
32°C or higher
$218 Volume
98%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
At 97%, 32°C or higher has pulled far clear of 31°C (2%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Traders price 32°C or higher at a 97% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25 market resolve?
Mark 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Traders have put $12.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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