Weather · Climate & Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

View on Polymarket

$748 Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

View on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

Past

Jun 30 Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

8–10

$159.7K Volume

11–13

$416.9K Volume

13%

14–16

$188.5K Volume

44%

17–19

$212.9K Volume

37%

20+

$68.1K Volume

14%

Resolved 2

$242.9K Volume

5–7

$101.1K Volume

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

The field is wide open: 14–16 tops it at just 42%, with 17–19 close behind at 35%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.

What do traders predict for How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Right now the market's best guess is 14–16 at 42% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026 market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$748 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.