This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Weather
· climate
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
0
$1.7K Volume
15%
1-3
$1.4K Volume
39%
4-6
$928 Volume
38%
7+
$471 Volume
12%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
The field is wide open: 1-3 tops it at just 39%, with 4-6 close behind at 37%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 1-3 tops the implied probabilities at just 39%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Traders have put $4.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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