This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
<$30B
$603 Volume
71%
$30B–$40B
$463 Volume
8%
$40B–$50B
$1.6K Volume
69%
$50B–$60B
$1.2K Volume
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 Volume
11%
$70B–$80B
$489 Volume
20%
$80B–$90B
$448 Volume
51%
$90B–$100B
$306 Volume
8%
$100B+
$637 Volume
18%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
Even the leader is cheap - <$30B trades at 37%, $40B–$50B at 35%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
No strong consensus yet: <$30B tops the implied probabilities at just 37%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2027 (494 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
Traders have put $6.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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