ISM · PMI

ISM Services PMI - August 2026

$86 Volume
03/09/2026 06:00
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<50.0
$640 Volume
1%
50.0–50.9
$733 Volume
1%
51.0–51.9
$741 Volume
1%
52.0–52.9
$3.9K Volume
7%
53.0–53.9
$15.2K Volume
31%
54.0–54.9
$6.2K Volume
23%
55.0–55.9
$4.5K Volume
44%
56.0–56.9
$839 Volume
5%
57.0–57.9
$836 Volume
2%
58.0+
$737 Volume
1%

This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.

The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.

Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.

If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Resolution Source: www.ismworld.org

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for ISM Services PMI - August 2026?
The field is wide open: 55.0–55.9 tops it at just 43%, with 53.0–53.9 close behind at 31%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for ISM Services PMI - August 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 55.0–55.9 at 43% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the ISM Services PMI - August 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Sep 2026 (9 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on ISM Services PMI - August 2026?
Total turnover stands at $86. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade ISM Services PMI - August 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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