Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Yes is the outsider here at 22%, while No trades at 78%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 22% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Israeli election results in a hung parliament market resolve?
Mark 27 Oct 2026 (63 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Total turnover stands at $3.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Israeli election results in a hung parliament on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNo
Marine Le Pen33%YesNo
Édouard Philippe25%YesNo
J.D. Vance47%YesNo
Marco Rubio19%YesNo
United Russia (ER)72%YesNo
New People (NL)22%YesNo
JD Vance23%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot55%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu28%YesNo
Magdalena Andersson89%YesNo
Ulf Kristersson11%YesNo
