US Cremonese vs. Modena FC 2018

US Cremonese enters the Serie B fixture at Stadio Giovanni Zini as the 50% favorite, reflecting home advantage and a historical edge with three wins and two draws in the last five meetings against Modena. Cremonese opened the league campaign with a narrow 1-0 loss at Empoli but secured a clean-sheet Coppa Italia win over Sampdoria days earlier, while Modena claimed a 2-1 victory at Benevento. Cremonese roster depth faces early-season strain from injuries to players such as Stuckler and Barbieri plus suspensions, yet the side retains attacking options including Bonazzoli and Vandeputte. Modena’s strong opening result and solid away record provide realistic upset potential at 20%, keeping the draw priced at 28% in a matchup where recent form and venue tilt trader consensus toward the hosts.