Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
United Russia
$1.4K Volume
96%
Yabloko
$770 Volume
4%
CPRF
$538 Volume
2%
LDPR
$550 Volume
1%
A Just Russia
$480 Volume
1%
New People
$494 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner?
At 95%, United Russia has pulled far clear of Other (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner?
Traders price United Russia at a 95% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 20 Sep 2026 (28 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner?
$4.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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