This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
20°C or below
$15 Volume
15%
21°C
$15 Volume
7%
22°C
$15 Volume
38%
23°C
$90 Volume
38%
24°C
28%
25°C
44%
26°C
49%
27°C
50%
28°C
1%
29°C
$103 Volume
14%
30°C or higher
$20 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
Even the leader is cheap - 26°C trades at 37%, 27°C at 28%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
No strong consensus yet: 26°C tops the implied probabilities at just 37%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 26 market resolve?
Mark 26 Aug 2026 (2 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
Total turnover stands at $6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 26 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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