This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
18°C or below
$105 Volume
22%
19°C
$142 Volume
48%
20°C
$93 Volume
2%
21°C
$85 Volume
64%
22°C
$60 Volume
61%
23°C
$35 Volume
62%
24°C
$160 Volume
98%
25°C
$225 Volume
1%
26°C
$511 Volume
1%
27°C
$308 Volume
1%
28°C or higher
$244 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
No runaway leader here - 24°C at 62% versus 21°C at 33%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
At 62% implied for 24°C, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25 market resolve?
Mark 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
Total turnover stands at $3.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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