This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
53°F or below
$32 Volume
1%
54-55°F
$110 Volume
1%
56-57°F
$79 Volume
10%
58-59°F
$253 Volume
3%
60-61°F
$701 Volume
2%
62-63°F
$134 Volume
10%
64-65°F
$257 Volume
30%
66-67°F
$177 Volume
42%
68-69°F
$193 Volume
22%
70-71°F
$433 Volume
5%
72°F or higher
$135 Volume
2%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Even the leader is cheap - 66-67°F trades at 40%, 64-65°F at 29%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
No strong consensus yet: 66-67°F tops the implied probabilities at just 40%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25 market resolve?
Mark 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Traders have put $13.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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