This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
12°C or below
$99 Volume
1%
13°C
$133 Volume
1%
14°C
$75 Volume
2%
15°C
$377 Volume
5%
16°C
$415 Volume
50%
17°C
$808 Volume
70%
18°C
$989 Volume
1%
19°C
$537 Volume
1%
20°C
$272 Volume
1%
21°C
$277 Volume
1%
22°C or higher
$184 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Paris on August 25?
No runaway leader here - 17°C at 58% versus 16°C at 31%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Traders give 17°C a 58% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Lowest temperature in Paris on August 25 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Total turnover stands at $8.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Paris on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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