This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
22°C or below
$217 Volume
1%
23°C
$97 Volume
1%
24°C
$91 Volume
1%
25°C
$875 Volume
2%
26°C
$1.4K Volume
29%
27°C
$1.8K Volume
76%
28°C
$1K Volume
13%
29°C
$92 Volume
1%
30°C
$564 Volume
1%
31°C
$226 Volume
1%
32°C or higher
$164 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
The money is on 27°C at 68%; 26°C follows at 19%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Traders lean toward 27°C, pricing it at 68%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25 market resolve?
The market runs until 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Traders have put $17.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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