This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
8°C or below
$17 Volume
1%
9°C
$55 Volume
49%
10°C
$12 Volume
22%
11°C
$2 Volume
92%
12°C
$2 Volume
89%
13°C
$8 Volume
40%
14°C
$395 Volume
1%
15°C
$200 Volume
1%
16°C
$1K Volume
1%
17°C
$165 Volume
1%
18°C or higher
$452 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
No runaway leader here - 11°C at 48% versus 12°C at 46%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Traders give 11°C a 48% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26 market resolve?
Mark 26 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Total turnover stands at $3.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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