Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
AfD
$98.8K Volume
88%
SPD
$99.3K Volume
14%
CDU
$44.4K Volume
1%
Grüne
$71.4K Volume
1%
FDP
$77.1K Volume
1%
Linke
$27.7K Volume
1%
FW
$36.7K Volume
1%
BSW
$22.3K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner?
At 88%, AfD has pulled far clear of SPD (14%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner?
Traders price AfD at a 88% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 20 Sep 2026 (25 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner?
$477.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.






