Michigan Midterm · Senate midterms

Michigan Senate Election Winner

$587.2K Volume
03/11/2026 00:00
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Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$320.8K Volume
62%
Mike Rogers (R)
$266.4K Volume
40%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Michigan Senate Election Winner?
It's a genuine race: Abdul El-Sayed (D) edges the field at 61%, barely ahead of Mike Rogers (R) at 39%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Michigan Senate Election Winner?
At 61% implied for Abdul El-Sayed (D), the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Michigan Senate Election Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 3 Nov 2026 (71 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Michigan Senate Election Winner?
Traders have put $587.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Michigan Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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