This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Yordan Alvarez
$7.3K Volume
93%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
$117 Volume
4%
Julio Rodríguez
$123 Volume
4%
José Ramírez
$466 Volume
4%
Cal Raleigh
$3.8K Volume
1%
Gunnar Henderson
$389 Volume
1%
Aaron Judge
$4.7K Volume
1%
Bobby Witt Jr.
$621 Volume
3%
Corey Seager
$397.5K Volume
1%
Nick Kurtz
$1.5K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner?
Yordan Alvarez dominates the field at 93%; the nearest challenger, Julio Rodríguez, trades at just 3%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner?
Traders price Yordan Alvarez at a 93% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner market resolve?
Mark 13 Nov 2026 (80 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner?
Traders have put $416.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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