This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kyle Schwarber
$29.4K Volume
60%
Junior Caminero
$3K Volume
13%
Yordan Alvarez
$10.9K Volume
17%
Matt Olson
$2.8K Volume
15%
Munetaka Murakami
$7.8K Volume
3%
Ben Rice
$1.5K Volume
10%
Shohei Ohtani
$1.3K Volume
1%
Mike Trout
$1.7M Volume
1%
Aaron Judge
$4.7K Volume
1%
Cal Raleigh
$772 Volume
1%
Eugenio Suarez
$922 Volume
1%
Juan Soto
$648.2K Volume
1%
Pete Alonso
$410 Volume
1%
Nick Kurtz
$1.5K Volume
1%
Rafael Devers
$631 Volume
1%
George Springer
$508 Volume
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$664 Volume
1%
Manny Machado
$547 Volume
1%
James Wood
$2.6K Volume
1%
Jordan Walker
$606 Volume
1%
Brandon Lowe
$469.8K Volume
1%
Sal Stewart
$650 Volume
1%
CJ Abrams
$203.7K Volume
1%
Elly De La Cruz
$1.2K Volume
1%
Shea Langeliers
$1.3K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MLB: Home Runs Leader?
No runaway leader here - Kyle Schwarber at 59% versus Yordan Alvarez at 12%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for MLB: Home Runs Leader?
Traders give Kyle Schwarber a 59% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the MLB: Home Runs Leader market resolve?
The market runs until 28 Sep 2026 (34 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on MLB: Home Runs Leader?
Traders have put $3.1M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade MLB: Home Runs Leader on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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