Politics · Elections

MN-06 House Election Winner

$39.7K Volume
03/11/2026 00:00
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Republican Party
$22.3K Volume
88%
Democratic Party
$17.4K Volume
10%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for MN-06 House Election Winner?
At 88%, Republican Party has pulled far clear of Democratic Party (10%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for MN-06 House Election Winner?
Traders price Republican Party at a 88% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the MN-06 House Election Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 3 Nov 2026 (70 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on MN-06 House Election Winner?
Traders have put $39.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade MN-06 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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