Russia · Politics

Moscow Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

$4.6K Volume
20/09/2026 20:00
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United Russia
$1.2K Volume
98%
New People
$864 Volume
2%
A Just Russia
$599 Volume
1%
CPRF
$342 Volume
1%
LDPR
$262 Volume
1%
Party of Pensioners
$262 Volume
1%
Communists of Russia
$262 Volume
1%
Rodina
$262 Volume
1%
Yabloko
$262 Volume
1%
The Greens
$262 Volume
1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.

The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Moscow Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner?
United Russia dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, Other, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Moscow Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner?
Traders price United Russia at a 97% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Moscow Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner market resolve?
Mark 20 Sep 2026 (27 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Moscow Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner?
$4.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Moscow Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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