A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Chris Hipkins
$9.4K Volume
51%
Christopher Luxon
$7.7K Volume
45%
Nicola Willis
$3.7K Volume
4%
Chlöe Swarbrick
$1.4K Volume
3%
Winston Peters
$2.1K Volume
3%
David Seymour
$1.2K Volume
1%
Carmel Sepuloni
$1.4K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
No runaway leader here - Chris Hipkins at 51% versus Christopher Luxon at 44%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Traders give Chris Hipkins a 51% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Next Prime Minister of New Zealand market resolve?
The market runs until 7 Nov 2026 (74 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
$26.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Next Prime Minister of New Zealand on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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