This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
The market prices Yes at only 14%, with No at 86%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 14% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Traders have put $100.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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