A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. New Zealand uses a mixed-member proportional electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member electorate and one party vote for a political party list.
This market will resolve to “Labour” if the Labour Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the National Party in this election.
This market will resolve to “National” if the National Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the Labour Party in this election.
Percentages of valid party list votes received by the Labour Party and the National Party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid party list votes each party receives by the sum of all valid party list votes cast in the election. This market includes party list votes cast by both the general electorate and the Māori electorate.
This market will resolve solely based on party list votes cast in this election. Electorate votes will not be considered.
If the Labour Party and the National Party receive the same percentage of valid party list votes in this election, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Politics
· Global Elections
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)?
No runaway leader here - Labour at 57% versus National at 43%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)?
Traders give Labour a 57% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) market resolve?
Mark 7 Nov 2026 (74 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)?
Total turnover stands at $200. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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