This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary runoff will take place on August 25, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Politics
· Elections
Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner
Bob Sullivan
$3.9K Volume
87%
Marty Quinn
$459 Volume
17%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner?
At 85%, Bob Sullivan has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner?
Traders price Bob Sullivan at a 85% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 25 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner?
$4.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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