This market will resolve to the wind-gust range that contains the maximum wind gust, in km/h, recorded in any routine (METAR) or special (SPECI) observation from Wellington Airport (ICAO: NZWN) between August 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Wellington, New Zealand is widely recognized as the world's windiest city, and its airport regularly records powerful gusts that make headlines and viral landing videos worldwide.
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=8&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
93 km/h or below
$1.5K Volume
2%
94 to 103 km/h
$1.5K Volume
2%
104 km/h or above
$3.4K Volume
99%
Resolution Source: mesonet.agron.iastate.edu
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in August?
104 km/h or above dominates the field at 98%; the nearest challenger, 94 to 103 km/h, trades at just 1%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in August?
With 98% implied for 104 km/h or above, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in August market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Sep 2026 (7 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in August?
$6.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in August on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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