FC Arouca vs. CS Marítimo

Arouca enters this Primeira Liga fixture with strong early-season momentum after back-to-back wins, including a 4-0 home rout of Moreirense, and a settled squad under Vasco Seabra that extended an unbeaten streak from the prior campaign. Their attacking output, led by players like Iván Barbero, combined with a solid defensive record in the opening weeks, underpins the market's slight edge for the home side despite the midweek 0-2 loss at Porto. Marítimo, newly competitive at the top after a 2-1-0 start with clean sheets in key stretches, benefits from consistent results and promotion momentum that narrows the gap. The elevated draw probability reflects the evenly matched recent form and typical Liga Portugal tactical caution between these sides.