Aus · Economy

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August (Resolved)

$7.6K Volume
11/08/2026 00:00
View on Polymarket
View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket
No change
$63.9K Volume
99%
25 bps increase
$43.4K Volume
1%
25 bps decrease
$8.4K Volume
1%
50+ bps decrease
$3.1K Volume
1%
50+ bps increase
$5.6K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 10-11, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-meetings/). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.

If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.

If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.

If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.

If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Odds & FAQ

When does the Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August (Resolved)?
$7.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

Similar Markets

No change72%YesNo
25 bps increase24%YesNo
No Change66%YesNo
Decrease35%YesNo
No Change99%YesNo
25 bps decrease1%YesNo
No change78%YesNo
25 bps increase12%YesNo
No change92%YesNo
25 bps increase9%YesNo
No Change92%YesNo
Decrease10%YesNo
25 bps hike68%YesNo
No Change33%YesNo
No change65%YesNo
25 bps increase35%YesNo
Trade on Polymarket
Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$1K
Virtual Cash
500+
Markets
$0
Real Risk
Learn more