A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Ahsanul Hafiz
$8.1K Volume
52%
Fatima Shaban
$7.1K Volume
49%
Noor Tarun
$949 Volume
1%
Mark Bekkering
$611 Volume
1%
Chris Rees
$574 Volume
1%
Person A
50%
Person B
50%
Person C
50%
Person D
50%
Person E
50%
Person F
50%
Person G
50%
Person H
50%
Person I
50%
Person J
50%
Person K
50%
Person L
50%
Person M
50%
Person N
50%
Person O
50%
Person P
50%
Person Q
50%
Person R
50%
Person S
50%
Person T
50%
Person U
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner?
It's a genuine race: Ahsanul Hafiz edges the field at 51%, barely ahead of Person A at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner?
Traders give Ahsanul Hafiz a 51% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 3 Sep 2026 (10 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner?
$17.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
No Change99%YesNo
50+ bps increase1%YesNo







