The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the runoff of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Politics
· Elections
South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory (Resolved)
Graham Nordone 5–10%
$6.6K Volume
70%
Graham Nordone <5%
$20.8K Volume
19%
Graham Nordone 10–15%
$1.1K Volume
8%
Graham Nordone 15–20%
$2.5K Volume
3%
Graham Nordone 20–25%
$733 Volume
2%
Norman <5%
$2.3K Volume
4%
Graham Nordone 25–30%
$453 Volume
1%
Graham Nordone 30%+
$565 Volume
1%
Norman 5–10%
$1.4K Volume
2%
Norman 10–15%
$664 Volume
2%
Norman 15–20%
$1.5K Volume
2%
Norman 20%+
$698 Volume
1%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
When does the South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory (Resolved)?
Total turnover stands at $39.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
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