turnout · Midterms

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

$416 Volume
03/11/2026 12:00
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<8M
$42 Volume
58%
8M-8.4M
$42 Volume
61%
8.4M-8.8M
$42 Volume
40%
8.8M-9.2M
$42 Volume
59%
9.2M-9.6M
$42 Volume
52%
9.6M-10M
$42 Volume
36%
10M-10.4M
$42 Volume
52%
10.4M-10.8M
$42 Volume
55%
10.8M-11.2M
$42 Volume
59%
11.2M+
$42 Volume
53%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Texas Senate Election: Turnout?
The field is wide open: 8M-8.4M tops it at just 36%, with 8.8M-9.2M close behind at 35%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Texas Senate Election: Turnout?
No strong consensus yet: 8M-8.4M tops the implied probabilities at just 36%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Texas Senate Election: Turnout market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (71 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Texas Senate Election: Turnout?
$416 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Texas Senate Election: Turnout on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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