AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia

AEK Athens enter the second leg of their UEFA Champions League playoff tie against Levski Sofia as clear favorites at 63.5% implied probability, buoyed by home advantage at OPAP Arena following a goalless first-leg draw in Sofia. Levski’s strong unbeaten run across 17 matches, including multiple clean sheets and qualifier wins over Kairat, underpins their 14.5% chance, yet the Bulgarian side faces a tougher test away with several injury concerns including Mustapha Sangaré and Radoslav Kirilov. AEK’s attacking options, led by Luka Jović, combined with recent domestic form like a 4-0 league win, support trader consensus on a home edge despite the tight aggregate situation and Levski’s defensive organization. The draw sits at 23% as both sides prioritize control.