Liu Ce enters his UFC debut on home soil in Shanghai against Levi Rodrigues Jr. as the consensus favorite, driven by a 6'5" frame and significant reach edge over the 6'0" Brazilian, plus an elite kickboxing background with multiple K-1 titles and three first- or second-round finishes in MMA. Rodrigues, a Muay Thai specialist nicknamed "Baby Monster," brings five straight KO/TKO wins but arrives on short rest after a second-round TKO loss in his July UFC debut and an earlier no-contest on Dana White's Contender Series. The original matchup with Junior Tafa fell through, positioning Rodrigues as a late replacement in a bout expected to test whether Ce's size and power translate immediately against a proven finisher. Recent form, travel demands, and the three-round main-card format shape trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Liu Ce" if Liu Ce is officially declared the winner of the fight against Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Levi Rodrigues Jr." if Levi Rodrigues Jr. is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
