This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 5%, while No trades at 95%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 5%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
$74.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
United Russia (ER)72%YesNo
New People (NL)22%YesNo
December 3127%YesNo
October 3115%YesNo
China53%YesNo
No meeting by December 3145%YesNo
June 30, 202714%YesNo
December 31, 20268%YesNo
325–33937%YesNo
340–35423%YesNo
December 3134%YesNo
October 3116%YesNo
December 3152%YesNo
September 3011%YesNo
