This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
$1B
$210.6K Volume
47%
$2B
$124K Volume
26%
$3B
$60K Volume
12%
$4B
$122.2K Volume
8%
$5B
$72.5K Volume
8%
$100M
$42.2K Volume
98%
$200M
$49.8K Volume
96%
$300M
$236.6K Volume
91%
$500M
$786.3K Volume
76%
$800M
$296.8K Volume
57%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, $200M, trades at just 96%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
With 97% implied for $100M, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2028 (495 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Traders have put $2M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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