Weather · climate

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

$11.2K Volume
02/12/2026 03:59
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Dolly
$1.8K Volume
51%
Edouard
$1.9K Volume
35%
Fay
$1.2K Volume
17%
Gonzalo
$761 Volume
8%
Cristobal
$1.7K Volume
2%
Hanna
$173 Volume
4%
Isaias
$545 Volume
7%
Leah
$258 Volume
1%
Marco
$386 Volume
1%
Omar
$142 Volume
3%
Rene
$138 Volume
2%
Teddy
$138 Volume
3%
Vicky
$165 Volume
2%
Wilfred
$193 Volume
3%
Josephine
$250 Volume
1%
Kyle
$289 Volume
1%
Nana
$246 Volume
1%
Paulette
$266 Volume
6%
Sally
$326 Volume
1%
Other
$258 Volume
6%

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".

A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.

All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).

This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
No runaway leader here - Dolly at 50% versus Edouard at 34%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Traders give Dolly a 50% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 2 Dec 2026 (100 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Traders have put $11.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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