General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Politics
· Global Elections
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$226.2K Volume
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$52K Volume
92%
Renan Santos
$17.8K Volume
5%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$34.7K Volume
2%
Romeu Zema
$986 Volume
3%
Ronaldo Caiado
$698 Volume
2%
Tarcisio de Frietas
$83.1K Volume
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$15.6K Volume
1%
Fernando Haddad
$65.5K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, Flavio Bolsonaro, trades at just 92%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
With 97% implied for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Total turnover stands at $496.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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