Sweden · Politics

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

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$12.6K Volume

31/01/2027 23:59

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Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$2.7K Volume

93%

Green Party (MP)

$1.2K Volume

88%

Centre Party (C)

$760 Volume

65%

Left Party (V)

$1.5K Volume

73%

Moderate Party (M)

$45 Volume

78%

Christian Democrats (KD)

$1.6K Volume

30%

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$3.3K Volume

10%

Liberals (L)

$1.4K Volume

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$163 Volume

14%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

At 92%, Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) has pulled far clear of Green Party (MP) (82%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.

What do traders predict for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Traders price Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at a 92% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the Which parties will be in next Swedish Government market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 31 Jan 2027 (161 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Traders have put $12.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Which parties will be in next Swedish Government on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.